Brexit is just around the corner. What now?

Brexit is scheduled to take place on March 29, 2018. This is because the exit process was started on March 29, 2016 by British government under Theresa May. The government at that time triggered article 50 of Treaty on the European Union (TEU) that governs the withdrawal from the European Union.

However, only three months away from the scheduled withdrawal, British government has not yet secured any deal on the future prospect after Brexit takes place in the future. Although on November 25, 2018 the British government has agreed on a Brexit deal with the European Union, this deal is still up for British parliament vote on December 11, 2018.

The deal that was agreed on November 25, 2018 comes in two parts. It contains the withdrawal agreement, which is a 585-page legally-binding text that sets the terms of UK’s withdrawal from the EU. It also contains the statement on future relations, which is a 26-page not legally-binding text that sketches out the future relationship between the UK and the EU in various fields such as trade, defense, and security.

Theresa May’s own Cabinet Members urge Theresa May to resign

Theresa May’s own Party urges Theresa May to resign

Now that the Brexit deal is up for vote by UK Parliament on December 11, 2018, Theresa May has around one week to campaign and to sell her Brexit deal. However, if the deal does not pass through the parliament on December 11, 2018,

Theresa May’s opposition urges Theresa May to resign

  1. Does it ensure a strong and collaborative future relationship with the EU?
  2. Does it deliver the “exact same benefits” as we currently have as members of the Single Market and Customs Union?
  3. Does it ensure the fair management of migration in the interests of the economy and communities?
  4. Does it defend rights and protections and prevent a race to the bottom?
  5. Does it protect national security and our capacity to tackle cross-border crime?
  6. Does it deliver for all regions and nations of the UK?

Jeremy Corbyn says that Theresa May’s Brexit deal fails to pass the test, and therefore, the Labour Party will vote it down during the vote in Parliament on December 11, 2018. That being said, if the deal is voted down, there is a case for the parliament to claim that Theresa May fails to deliver Brexit. Therefore, it is fair to question Theresa May’s government as the parliament is no longer confident in the her government.

UK Parliament calls for a snap election

UK Parliament calls for a second referendum

No deal Brexit

Why is this bad? UK’s 45 years membership in the EU has intertwined both sides very deeply. The cooperation between the two are embedded in every facets of the lives of everyone in both sides of English Channel. Both are closely cooperating in immigration, trade, security, defense, fisheries, agriculture, and many other sectors. For example, the surge in European products sold in the UK will be effective on Brexit day (29 March, 2019), if no-deal-Brexit is to take place. Other than that, millions of British people living in Europe and Europeans living in the UK will be left with uncertainty. Cutting the cooperation in an extreme manner is seen by many as not an option at all.

Both ways, Brexit will adversely affect the UK. According to a study by Downing Street and the Bank of England, in both scenario — a Brexit with a clear divorce bill and a Brexit with no deal at all — UK will be adversely affected by Brexit.

No Brexit at all

International Relations enthusiast